Syntagma Digital
Moneyizor
Moneyizor

Free markets or government regulation?

Pendulum That seems to be a choice that has to be made by each succeeding generation, depending on the business cycle and/or the severity of downturns.

In the current recessionary period the situation is so bad it’s become a crisis in both the financial markets and the real economy. Already many governments are having to nationalize part or all of their banking system. Financial services never seemed so brittle.

Is that really the case though? In a carefully-argued article, The world needs Up-To-A-Pointism, John Evans suggests that by staying within the boundaries where governments and free markets work best, the world would be a much more stable place to live and do business.

Although mostly mutually-exclusive, the interface between regulation and free markets could be made to operate more efficiently, to the benefit of both.

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Barclays next in line for subprime hit?

Barclays Logo Jonathan Pierce at Credit Suisse — itself in the wars over structured debt obligations — thinks that Barclays is facing a near £10 billion ($20bn) of losses if it follows Royal Bank of Scotland in adopting a conservative estimate of its mortgage assets.

RBS declared £5.9 billion ($12bn) last week and has opted for a £10 billion request for cash from its shareholders.

Barclays will, we understand, keep its losses confidential.

It looks like blue-chip Barclays will be the next major bank to announce a rights issue, or look for outside investors, possibly from the sovereign wealth funds of the Middle East or Far east.

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Royal Bank of Scotland to announce big losses

RBS Yet another huge loser in the American subprime mortage market is set to announce big writedowns next week.

Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), Britain’s second largest bank, is understood to be seeking to raise capital from its shareholders in a rights issue thought to amount to £10 billion ($20bn), which is probably the biggest rights issue ever demanded in the UK.

The bank, which bought troubled NatWest and ABM Amro, has been running on low capital ratios for quite a while. It also has major exposure to subprime debt instruments. It has been linked with Spain’s Banco Santander for many years.

When such a major player is caught short like this, it brings home the extent and depth of the crisis in transatlantic financial markets, with all the knockon effects to the rest of the world.

Vince Cable, a spokesmen on Treasury matters who carries more weight than the Treasury these days, believes all the banks should follow the example of RBS, since they will need a great deal of liquidity from the Bank of England and that should be underwritten by shareholders, not taxpayers.

We await next week’s announcement, which will surely be leaked over the weekend.

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